Monday, July 21, 2008

THE END OF WHITE FLIGHT

CONOR DOUGHERTY, WALL STREET JOURNAL Decades of white flight transformed America's cities. That era is drawing to a close.

In Washington, a historically black church is trying to attract white members to survive. Atlanta's next mayoral race is expected to feature the first competitive white candidate since the 1980s. San Francisco has lost so many African-Americans that Mayor Gavin Newsom created an "African-American Out-Migration Task Force and Advisory Committee" to help retain black residents. . .

For much of the 20th century, the proportion of whites shrank in most U.S. cities. In recent years the decline has slowed considerably -- and in some significant cases has reversed. Between 2000 and 2006, eight of the 50 largest cities, including Boston, Seattle and San Francisco, saw the proportion of whites increase, according to Census figures. The previous decade, only three cities saw increases. . .

While most of the 50 largest cities continue to see declines in the share of whites, it is at much-reduced rates. In Los Angeles the share of the white population declined only about a half a percentage point between 2000 and 2006, compared to a 7.5-point decline the previous decade. Cities including New York, Fort Worth and Chicago show a similar pattern.

Demographic readjustments can take decades to play out. But if current trends continue, Washington and Atlanta (both with black majorities) will in the next decade see African-Americans fall below 50% for the first time in about a half-century.

Meantime, in San Francisco, African-American deaths now outnumber births. Once a "natural decrease" such as this begins, it's tough for the population to bounce back, since there are fewer residents left to produce the next generation. . .

Although this article, in best Wall Street Journal fashion, puts a benign cast on gentrification, the energy crisis will make this shift far more costly to those being renmoved. One of the things now driving gentrification is the inherent efficiency of having things close by. The poor are being pushed out to places that are more isolated from jobs and services, with the price of getting to them growing rapidly.

8 Comments:

At July 22, 2008 11:01 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Frankly I have no problem at all with a population composed of a large percentage of criminals, welfare cheats, thugs and crackheads failing to 'bounce back' either now, or in the forseeable future...

 
At July 22, 2008 4:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't you just love people who use percentages to hide uncomfortable facts. The race that has the most absolute number of Americans fitting the descriptions in the 11:01 post is of course caucasians.

 
At July 22, 2008 6:35 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

there's no number percentage given in 11:01's post, just the statement "a large percentage of". that just means he or she is referring to the population group named at the end of the article, i.e., african-americans. and where are your numbers to back up your claim about caucasians being the largest 'race' to fit those descriptions, 4:00?

 
At July 22, 2008 6:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't you just love people who will otherwise deny that there's such a concept as race freely referring to Whites as "the Caucasian race"?

 
At July 22, 2008 6:53 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"criminals, welfare cheats, thugs and crackheads "? Hell, I thought crackerboy was talking about Congress or our last several prezdents,

 
At July 23, 2008 6:55 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

'Crackerboy's' still waiting for those numbers, 400, as 635 pointed out.

 
At July 24, 2008 7:14 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't you just love people who throw around wild statements such as 'the Caucasian race has the largest percentage of welfare cheats, thugs, criminals, and crackheads', but then won't (because they can't, because the facts are otherwise) produce any hard numbers to back up their assertion?

 
At July 25, 2008 1:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It's the per-capita numbers that tell the real story, and like it or not, per-capita, Blacks do have higher rates of long-term welfare dependency, criminal incarceration, illegitimate chilldbearing, and drug usage (for some types of drugs).

 

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