Saturday, July 12, 2008

MORNING LINE: IS MCCAIN TOAST?

Sam Smith: This is not a prediction, just something to stick in the back of your mind so you won't be too surprised if it happens: John McCain might not make through the convention.

The public doesn't know it yet but it's not well hidden: McCain's campaign is one of the worst of recent times. Between calling Social Security a disaster, an aide who thinks Americans are "whiners," not being sure of what the threat from Iran is that he's being so bellicose about, and being stumped by a question about Viagra, McCain is running a stunningly incompetent operation and he looks as if it's leaving him exhausted.

To be sure, the polls are close even if Obama does have almost enough electoral votes. In a normal election, you'd say it's too soon to tell. But you can't have too many weeks as lousy as the last few for McCain without things falling apart. Remember: we're talking about a white war hero running against a far less familiar young black who ten percent of the voters think is Muslim.

How would McCain be dumped? The easiest way is through a convenient illness combined with appropriate compensation. But if nothing happens, and things continue to deteriorate it could become a public issue.

6 Comments:

At July 12, 2008 6:40 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nonsense. McCain is simply using his senility to attract votes from Ronald Reagan fans. Old Ray-Gun himself served 8 bumbling years with undiagnosed Alzheimer's disease. Handing the nuke launching codes from President Chimpy to McInsane will keep the world at DEFCON 1 for 4 more years.

 
At July 12, 2008 6:41 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

How the hell do 10% of people in the US think Obama is Muslim? The outright lies that people swallow are just ridiculous.

 
At July 12, 2008 10:05 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sam, I have thought this as well. McCain is not a spry, healthy senior citizen. He hobbles around like he's 85, can barely read the teleprompter, and just comes off as an old dweeb dufus. Note how the networks tend to capture him after he's already at the podium instead of on the way to it. In a debate, I'm sure Obama will smoke him. He's probably a lot like what "W" will be like when he's that age. A man of privilege but basically a fu** up. If I were McCain, I would have been afraid to run for Prez. Look at all of the great info that's come to light about his incompetence as an aviator, his reputation as a womanizer, the way he dumped his wife, dubious behaviour as a POW, etc. etc. Its not baseless stuff...

 
At July 12, 2008 10:05 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sam, I have thought this as well. McCain is not a spry, healthy senior citizen. He hobbles around like he's 85, can barely read the teleprompter, and just comes off as an old dweeb dufus. Note how the networks tend to capture him after he's already at the podium instead of on the way to it. In a debate, I'm sure Obama will smoke him. He's probably a lot like what "W" will be like when he's that age. A man of privilege but basically a fu** up. If I were McCain, I would have been afraid to run for Prez. Look at all of the great info that's come to light about his incompetence as an aviator, his reputation as a womanizer, the way he dumped his wife, dubious behaviour as a POW, etc. etc. Its not baseless stuff...

 
At July 13, 2008 10:18 AM, Blogger David said...

Sam, this is a very reasonable possibility. McCain does not project image of health or competence in his recent appearances. When confronted by questions, he has difficulty responding intelligently. I look for a move to draft Jeb Bush as a candidate.

 
At July 13, 2008 5:24 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Look at all of the great info that's come to light about his incompetence as an aviator, his reputation as a womanizer, the way he dumped his wife, dubious behaviour as a POW, etc. etc. Its not baseless stuff...

Chimpy was an incompetent aviator, had a reputation as a drunkard, dumped his position at the Air National Guard, dubious abuse of cocaine, alcohol, DUIs, etc. etc. and all the Bible thumpers still elected him.

 

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