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UNDERNEWS

Undernews is the online report of the Progressive Review, edited by Sam Smith, who covered Washington during all or part of ten of America's presidencies and who has edited alternative journals since 1964. The Review, which has been on the web since 1995, is now published from Freeport, Maine. We get over 5 million article visits a year. See prorev.com for full contents of our site

January 27, 2010

RISING ELECTORATE FELL IN MASSACHUSETTS VOTE

Women's Voices, Women Vote - The results of our poll offer clear evidence that the voting in Massachusetts is a continuation of trends that WVWV first reported last November after the elections in New Jersey and Virginia: decreased turnout among rising american electorate – women, youth, African Americans, and Latinos; Republicans beginning to make inroads with some traditionally Democratic voters; the existence of the "marriage gap," and a striking disconnect between voters who voted for and still support President Obama and their electoral participation.

Turnout is an important factor driving the results in these elections. Voters in the rising american electorate are disengaged and their share of the electorate has dropped.

Changes in the margin of voting by RAE groups are also a factor. Progressive candidates are not gaining the share of votes among RAE voters that they have in 2008 and 2006.

Coakley won the RAE vote but by a smaller margin than in the past, and the RAE represented a smaller vote share than in recent elections.

The "marriage gap"-differences in the voting rates and preferences between unmarried and married women – continues to drive electoral outcomes. There was a 17point marriage gap in terms of partisanship; however, the impact of the unmarried women's vote was somewhat muted due to their decreased participation.

Responding to these trends, Page Gardner, President of WVWV, said: "In Massachusetts, RAE voters represent just under half of all eligible voters, yet they continue to underperform that share at the ballot box. Last night, the RAE was roughly 27 percent of all voters – a decline of 9 points compared to 2008 and 18 points lower than their overall share of eligible voters."


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