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The Progressive Review

MORNING LINE

Senate races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
Most recent poll to right
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

         

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AK

SULLIVAN-R BAGICH-D

 

9

5
 

  7
AR

COTTON-R PRYOR D

7

8

2
 

  4

 GOP WIN?
CO

GARDNER-R UDALL-D

7

3

2
 

  2

 GOP WIN?
GA

PERDUE-R NUNN-D

6
 

  6
 

PERDUE-R NUNN-D

1

3

6
 

  1
 
IA

ERNST-R BRALEY-D

4

 0

1
 

  2

 GOP WIN?
ID

RISCH-R MITCHELL-D

   

29
 

   29
 
IL

OBERWEISS-R DURBIN D

   

14
 

  14
 
KS

ROBERTS-R TAYLOR D

   

5
 

  5
 
KY

MCCONNELL-R GRIMES-D

7

3

1
 

 2

DEM WIN?
LA

CASSIDY R LAUNDRIEU D

24

1

3
 

  7
ME

COLLINS-R BELLOWS-D

 

36

55
 

   46
 
MI

LAND - R PETERS - D

5

5

6
 

  5
MN

MCFADDEN R FRANKEN D

   

6
 

  6
 
MS

COCHRAN-R CHILDERS-D

 

13

16
 

   15
 
MT

DAINES R WALSH D

7

4

7
 

   6

GOP
NC

TILLIS R GOP HAGEN D

2

3

5
 

  1

 GOP WIN?
NE

SASSE R -DOMINA D

25
 

   25
 
NH

BROWN-R SHAHEEN-D

10

12

8
 

  10
 
NJ

2013 LONEGAN-R BOOKER-D

Booker won by 10,
one more than we projected
 

2014 BELL-R BOOKER-D

 

19

20
 

 19
 
NM

WEH R UDALL D

   

21
 

  21
 
MA

2013 BROWN-R MARKEY D

Markey won by 10,
one more than we projected
 

2014 BROWN-R MARKEY D

       

  5
 
MI

LAND-R PETERS-D

(2)

(2)

3
 

  2

 GOP WIN?
MN

FRANKEN D

       

  WINS
 
MS

COCHRAN R - CHILDERS D

17
 

   17
 
MT

DAINES R WALSH D

7

12

23
 

  14

GOP
NB

RICKETTS R - HASSEBROOK D

7
 

   7
 
NJ

BOOKER-D

   

DEM
 

  WINS
 
OK

INHOFE R - SILVERSTEIN D

31
 

   31
 
OR

WEHBY- R MERKLEY-D

 

4

10
 

  3

 GOP WIN?
PA

TOOMY R - SESTAK D

5
 

   5
 
SC

GRAHAM R - HUTTO D

19
 

   19
 
SC

SCOTT R - DICKINSON D

22
 

   22
 
SD

ROUNDS-R WEILAND-D

20

14

15
 

   16

GOP
TN

ALEXANDERE R - BALL D

   

26
 

   26
 
VA

GILLESPIE-R WARNER-D

15

17

25
 

  19
 
WV

CAPITO-R TENNANT-D

4

8

11
 

   8

GOP

Generic House races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error

For the past seven polls, the GOP has had a 2-3 point moving average

CURRENT

RECENT POLLS
 

POLL
AVG

GOP MAJORITY

 2

 2

 2
 

 2

Governor races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

         

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AK

PARNELL-R WALKER-i

 

13
 

13
 
AL

BENTLEY-R GRIFFITH-D

 

22
 

22
 
AR

HUTCHINSON-R ROSS-D

1

7

6
 

 5

GOP
AZ

VARIOUS

       

0-3

DEM? 
CA

KASHKARI-R BROWN-D

 

19
 

  19
 
CT

FOLEY-R MALLOY-D

 1

 0

 0
 

   0

GOP?
CO

BEAUPREZ-R HICKENLOOPER-D

1
 

1

GOP?
FL

SCOTT-R CRIST-D

 2

6

5
 

   4

DEM? 
GA

DEAL-R CARTER-D

6

7

1
 

   0

DEM? 
HI

AIONA-R ABERCROBIE-D

   

(8)
 

 (8)

GOP
IA

BRANSTAD-R HATCH-D

9

16

14
 

 13
ID

OTTER-R BALUKOFF-D

 

14
 

14
 
IL

RAUNER-R QUINN-D

 

8

4
 

6

GOP
KS

BROWNBACK-R DAVIS-D

4

7

8
 

  2

DEM? 
MA

BAKER-R COAKLEY-D

7

11

5
 

   8
 
MD

HOGAN-R BROWN-D

 

13

13
 

13
 
ME

LEPAGE-R MICHAUD-D

5

4

4
 

   4

DEM? 
MI

SNYDER-R SCHAUER-D

2

8

3
 

4

DEM? 
MN

VARIOUS-R DAYTON-D

   

12-18
 

12-18
 
NB

RICKETTS-R HASSEBROOK-D

   

7
 

 7
 
NC

HALEY-R SHEHEEN-D

4-7
 

   4-7

DEM? 
NH

VARIOUS-R HASSEN-D

DEM
 

  WINS
 
NJ

CHRISTIE-R BUONO D

   

(19)
 

 (19)
NV

SANDOVAL-R GOODMAN D

   

28
 

 28
 
NY

ASTORINO-R CUOMO-D

29

35

37
 

   34
 
OH

KASICH-R FITZGERALD D

 (7)

 (7)

1
 

 5

OK

FALLIN-R DORMAN D

   

5
 

5
 
PA

CORBETT-R WOLF D

20

25

22
 

 23

 DEM
RI

FUNG-R RAIMONDO-D

   

2
 

   2

GOP?
SD

DAUGAARD-R WISMER D

 

33

20
 

27
 
TN

HASLAM-R MCkAMEY D

   

30
 

30
 
TX

ABBOTT-R DAVIS D

   

12
 

12
 
VA

CUCCINELLI-R MCAULIFFE-D

MCAULIFFE WON BV 3,
4 LESS THAN WE PROJECTED

 DEM
WI

WALKER-R BURKE D

0

0

1
 

   0

DEM? 

Presidential primaries

BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

GOP
       

PAUL

14

11

12

 12

HUCKABEE

11

10

12

  11

RYAN

12

10

11

  11

JEB BUSH

12

10

8

  10

CHRISTIE

8

10

13

  10

CRUZ

9

8

8

  8

PERRY

8

6

11

  8

RUBIO

8

6

6

  6

SANTORUM

4

3

  3

WALKER

3

8

5

  6
 

DEMOCRATS

H CLINTON

69

58

67

   65

WARREN

11

11

10

   11

BIDEN

12

9

8

   10

CUOMO

2

4

4

   3

O'MALLEY

2

2

   2

Presidential
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

7

7

   8

CARSON-R CLINTON-D

9

   9

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

9

   9

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

12

7

7

   9

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

12

9

9

   10

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

11

   11

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

15

8

9

   11

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

13

   13

ROMNEY-R CLINTON-D

13

   13

PERRY-R CLINTON-D

15

   15

STATES

 

ELECTORAL
VOTES 2012
 

 MOST RECENT
POLLS
 

POLL
AVG

2016
SHIFT
AK

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

6
   

1
 

   4

 DEM?

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

(1)
 

   (1)
 
CO

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

 5
 

(8)

0
 

   4

GOP?

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

3

5
 

   4
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

1

8
 

   4
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

2

10
 

   4
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

10

5
 

  7
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

6

1
 

   3
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

(3)

(8)

0
 

   4
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

   

(17)

14
 

15
 

CHRISTIE-R WARREN-D

     

16
 

  16
 

CHRISTIE -R DEAN-D

   

22
 

  22
 
FL

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

6

8

7
 

   7
 
 

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

29
 

12

14
 

  13
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

18

16
 

   17
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

18

19
 

   19
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

20
 

   20
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

26
 

   26
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

   

18
 

   18
 

RUBIO-R BIDEN-D

   

2
 

   (2)
 

BUSH-R BIDEN-D

   

4
 

   (4)
 
IA

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

 6
 

5

10

6
 

   7
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

7

16
 

   12
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

     

6
 

   6
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

5

14

13
 

   11
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

7
 

   7
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

13

5
 

   9
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

(17)
 

   (17)
 

WALKER-R BIDEN-D

     

(3)
 

   (3)
 

CHRISTIE R-R KERRY-D

     

(11)
 

   (11)
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

(17)
 

   (17)
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

(17)
 

   (17)
 
MI

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 9
 

6
 

   6
 
NH

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

 6
     

16
 

   16
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

       

4
 

   4
 
                   
NY

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

 29
   

(5)
 

   (5)
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

16

36
 

   26
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

43
 

   43
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

     

37
 

   37
 
OH

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

18
 

1

13

9
 

   8
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

9
 

   9
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

13

8

4
 

   8
 

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

   

14

7
 

   7
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

17

14
 

   15
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

15

9

11
 

   12
 
PA

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

20
   

18
 

   18
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

17

12
 

   15
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

15

14
 

   15
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

5

1

4
 

   3
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

16

16
 

   16
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

16

14
 

   15
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

     

18
 

   18
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

13
 

   13
 

RUBIO -R BIDEN-D

     

4
 

   4
 

RYAN-R BIDEN-D

     

(3)
 

   (3)
 

PAUL-R BIDEN-D

     

4
 

   4
 

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

     

21
 

   21
 

RUBIO-R CUOMO-D

     

4
 

   4
 

RYAN-R CUOMO-D

     

3
 

   3
 
VA

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

13
 

14

7

6
 

   10
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

9

2

4
 

   5
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

       

8
 

   8
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

       

8
 

   8
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

   

7
 

   7
 

CRUZ-R BIDEN-D

   

10
 

   10
 
WI

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

6
 

7

6

12
 

   8
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

2

4

13
 

   7
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

8

11
 

   10
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

     

5
 

   10
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

8

12
 

   10
 

WALKER-R CLINTON-D

   

7
 

   T
 

STATE PRIMARIES
Shows percentage results of recent polls (most recent on right)

 

GOP 

 Democratic
FLORIDA

 BUSH 22, 27, 21
RUBIO 16, 11, 21
CRUZ 10
PAUL 11, 14, 8

 CLINTON 70, 64, 67
WARREN 8
BUSH 8
IOWA

HUCKABEE 11, 15
BUSH 11,18,12
RYAN 13, 11
RAND PAUL 9,12,12

 HIL CLINTON 63,65, 70
BIDEN 18, 8
MARYLAND

HUCKABEE 13, 17
RAND PAUL 14
JEB BUSH 13

 HILLARY CLINTON 72
MICHIGAN

PAUL RYAN 27
MARCO RUBIO 21
SCOTT WALKER 16
 
MINNESOTA

 BUSH 15
PERRY 15

CRUZ, CHRISTIE 9

  HILLARY CLINTON 63
NEW HAMPSHIRE 

MITT ROMNEY 39
CHRISTIE 9, 7, 13
PAUL 7, 14
BUSH 7, 6, 10

   HILLARY CLINTON 64, 74
BIDEN 18
 NEW JERSEY

CHRIS CHRISTIE 51

  HILLARY CLINTON 63
 NEW YORK

 CHRIS CHRISTIE 40
PAUL 10
RUBIO 10

  HILLARY CLINTON 64
 PENNSYLVANIA

  HILLARY CLINTON 55
SOUTH CAROLINA

 HUCKABEE 18
BUSH 17
CHRISTIE 14
CRUZ 13
 
WISCONSIN

PAUL RYAN 25
SCOTT WALKER 21
 
VIRGINIA

 CHRIS CHRISTIE 19
BUSH 18

RYAN 13
HUCKABEE 13

  HILLARY CLINTON 66