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The Progressive Review

MORNING LINE

Senate races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
Most recent poll to right
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AK

SULLIVAN-R BAGICH-D

   

9

  9
AR

COTTON-R PRYOR-D

5

3

0

  1

 GOP WIN?
CO

GARDNER-R UDALL-D

 

1

2

  1

 GOP WIN?
GA

VARIOUS-R NUNN-D

   

1-4

  1-4

DEM WIN?
IA

VARIOUS-R BRALEY-D

DEM

DEM?

6-10

  6-10

 DEM
IL

OBERWEISS-R DURBIN D

   

14

  14
 
KY

MCCONNELL-R GRIMES-D

4

1

1

  1

DEM WIN?
LA

CASSIDY R LAUNDRIEU D

1

4

  2

 GOP WIN?
NC

TILLIS R GOP HAGEN D

7

4

2

 0

 GOP WIN?
NE

SASSE R -DOMINA D

25

   25
 
NH

BROWN-R SHAHEEN-D

6

9

6

  7
 
NJ

2013 LONEGAN-R BOOKER-D

Booker won by 10,
one more than we projected
 

2014 GENERIC-R BOOKER-D

   

19

 19
 
MA

2013 BROWN-R MARKEY D

Markey won by 10,
one more than we projected
 

2014 BROWN-R MARKEY D

     

  5
 
MI

LAND-R PETERS-D

(2)

(2)

3

  2

 GOP WIN?
MN

FRANKEN D

     

  WINS
 
MS

COCHRAN R - CHILDERS D

17

   17
 
MT

DAINES R WALSH D

17

14

7

  13

GOP

DAINES-R - BOHLINGER-D

   

(15)

   (15)
NJ

BOOKER-D

   

DEM

  WINS
 
PA

TOOMY R - SESTAK D

(5)

   (5)
 
SD

ROUNDS-R WEILAND-D

   

20

   20

GOP
TN

ALEXANDERE R - BURCHETT D

   

39

   39
 
VA

GILLESPIE-R WARNER-D

20

6

14

  13
 
WV

TENNANT-R CAPITO-D

 

16

14

  2

 GOP WIN?

Generic House races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error

CURRENT
     

POLL
AVG

GOP MAJORITY

 3

 6

 2

  2

Governor races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AR

HUTCHINSON-R ROSS-D

 

(4)

 3

  (1)

GOP?
AZ

TOO CLOSE

     

   

DEM? 
CA

DONNELLY-R BROWN-D

   

DEM

  DEM
 
CT

FOLEY-R MALLOY-D

3

 1

 0

   1

GOP?
CO

TANCREDO-R HICKENLOOPER-D

5

9

11

   8
 

GESSLER-R HICKENLOOPER-D

 

7

6

   7
 
FL

SCOTT-R CRIST-D

1

8

7

   7

 DEM
GA

DEAL-R CARTER-D

(11)

 3

 1

   3

DEM? 
HI

AIONA-R ABERCROBIE-D

   

(8)

 (8)

GOP
IA

BRANSTAD-R HATCH-D

16

11

10

 12
IL

RAUNER-R QUINN-D

 

8

4

6

GOP
KS

BROWNBACK-R DAVIS-D

 

4

7

5
MA

BAKER-R COAKLEY-D

10

15

29

   18
 
ME

LEPAGE-R MICHAUD-D

4

7

2

   3

DEM? 
MI

SNYDER-R SCHAUER-D

4

14

8

 9
NC

HALEY-R SHEHEEN-D

4-7

   4-7

DEM? 
NH

GATSAS-R HASSEN-D

25

15

23

   21
 
NJ

CHRISTIE-R BUONO D

   

(19)

 (19)
NY

ASTORINO-R CUOMO-D

DEM

   DEM
 
OH

KASICH-R FITZGERALD D

 

 (14)

 (7)

 (10)
PA

CORBETT-R WOLF D

19

 19

 DEM
RI

FUNG-R RAIMONDO-D

   

2

   2

GOP?
TX

DAUGAARD- R

   

 GOP

 GOP
 
TX

ABBOTT-R DAVIS-D

11

12

7

 10
VA

CUCCINELLI-R MCAULIFFE-D

MCAULIFFE WINS BV 3,
4 LESS THAN WE PROJECTED

 DEM
WI

WALKER-R BURKE D

7

15

16

 13

Presidential primaries

BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

GOP
       

PAUL

13

12

14

 14

HUCKABEE

13

13

15

  14

JEB BUSH

10

13

14

  13

CHRISTIE

9

12

15

  13

RYAN

6

12

9

  9

CRUZ

9

4

7

  7

RUBIO

6

7

8

  7

SANTORUM

3

3

  3

WALKER

5

5

5

  5

JINDAL

2

3

4

  2

WALKER

5

5

5

  5
 

DEMOCRATS
   

H CLINTON

60

63

69

   64

WARREN

13

6

   10

BIDEN

4

13

14

   10

CUOMO

3

2

   3

O'MALLEY

1

1

   1

Presidential
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

8

8

   8

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

11

8

11

   10

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

14

9

16

   13

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

21

16

   13

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

14

13

   13

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

20

9

14

   14

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

17

16

15

  16
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

12

4

11

  6

BUSH-R BIDEN-D

6

8

   2

RUBIO-R BIDEN-D

7

14

   10

PAUL-R BIDEN-D

11

 0

   6

RYAN-R BIDEN-D

3

   3
 

CHRISTIE-R WARREN-D

   

9

  9
 

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

17

  17

RYAN-R CUOMO-D

 

5

  5

RUBIO-R CUOMO-D

 

 0

   0

STATES

 

ELECTORAL
VOTES 2012
     

POLL
AVG

 2016
SHIFT
AK

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

6
 

1

   4

 DEM?

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

(1)

   (1)
 
CO

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

 5

(1)

(8)

0

   4

GOP?

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

3

   3
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

 

3

1

8

   4
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

 

3

2

10

  5
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

10

  10
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

6

  6
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 

(3)

(8)

   (5)
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

 

(16)

(17)

14

15
 

CHRISTIE-R WARREN-D

     

16

  16
 

CHRISTIE -R DEAN-D

   

22

  22
 
FL

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

29

9

7

  8
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

 

11

3

6

   7
 

RUBIO-R BIDEN-D

   

(2)

   (2)
 

BUSH-R BIDEN-D

   

(4)

   (4)
 
IA

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

 6

1

5

10

   5
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

7

16

   12
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

 

7

5

14

   8
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 

(3)

13

   3
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

(17)

   (17)
 

WALKER-R BIDEN-D

     

(3)

   (3)
 

CHRISTIE R-R KERRY-D

     

(11)

   (11)
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

(17)

   (17)
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

(17)

   (17)
 
MI

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 9

6

   6
 
NH

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

 6
   

16

   16
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

4

   4
 
               
NY

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

 29
 

(5)

   (5)
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

16

36

   26
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

43

   43
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

37

   37
 
OH

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

18

(9)

1

13

   5
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

 

(6)

8

9

   (5)
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

 

(15)

10

13

   8
 

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

   

9

14

   12
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

15

17

   16
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

13

15

   13
 
PA

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

20
 

18

   18

GOP?

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

17

   17
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

15

   15
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

5

1

   3
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

16

   16
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

18

   18
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

13

   13
 

RUBIO -R BIDEN-D

     

4

   4
 

RYAN-R BIDEN-D

     

(3)

   (3)
 

PAUL-R BIDEN-D

     

4

   4
 

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

     

21

   21
 

RUBIO-R CUOMO-D

     

4

   4
 

RYAN-R CUOMO-D

     

3

   3
 
           
VA

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

13

14

7

6

   10
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 

9

2

4

   5
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

8

   8
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

8

   8
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

 

7

   7
 

CRUZ-R BIDEN-D

 

10

   10
 

STATE PRIMARIES
Shows results of recent polls

 

GOP 

 Democratic
FLORIDA

 BUSH 25, 22
RUBIO 16
PAUL 11

 HILLARY CLINTON 70
IOWA

HUCKABEE 17, 11, 15
RAND PAUL 14, 10, 9
JEB BUSH 13, 10, 11

 HIL CLINTON 67, 63
MARYLAND

HUCKABEE 13, 17
RAND PAUL 14
JEB BUSH 13

 HILLARY CLINTON 72
MICHIGAN

PAUL RYAN 27
MARCO RUBIO 21
SCOTT WALKER 16
 
NEW HAMPSHIRE 

RAND PAUL 19, 9, 15
CHRIS CHRSTIE 19, 12, 12
KELLY AYOTTE 13
PAUL RYAN 13

   HILLARY CLINTON 64
 NEW JERSEY

CHRIS CHRISTIE 51

  HILLARY CLINTON 63
 NEW YORK

 CHRIS CHRISTIE 40
PAUL 10
RUBIO 10

  HILLARY CLINTON 64
 PENNSYLVANIA

  HILLARY CLINTON 55
SOUTH CAROLINA

 HUCKABEE 18
BUSH 17
CHRISTIE 14
CRUZ 13
 
WISCONSIN

SCOTT WALKER
 PAUL RYAN
 
VIRGINIA

 CHRIS CHRISTIE 19
BUSH 18

RYAN 13
HUCKABEE 13

  HILLARY CLINTON 66