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The Progressive Review

MORNING LINE

Senate races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
Most recent poll to right
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

         

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AK

SULLIVAN-R BAGICH-D

2

5

5
 

  3

 GOP WIN?
AR

COTTON-R PRYOR D

5

2

4
 

  4

 GOP WIN?
CO

GARDNER-R UDALL-D

4

1

8
 

  2

 GOP WIN?
DE

WADE R COONS D

 

15

15
 

  15
 
GA

PERDUE-R NUNN-D

2

4

5
 

  3

DEM WIN?
HI

CAVASSO R SCHATZ D

   

32
 

  32
 
IA

ERNST-R BRALEY-D

0

6

0
 

  2

 GOP WIN?
ID

RISCH-R MITCHELL-D

   

29
 

   29
 
IL

OBERWEISS-R DURBIN D

8

7

6
 

  7
 
KS

ROBERTS-R ORMAN-I

7

2

5
 

  3

IND? 
KY

MCCONNELL-R GRIMES-D

4

1

8
 

  3

DEM WIN?
LA

CASSIDY R LAUNDRIEU D

3

15

13
 

  0

 GOP WIN?
ME

COLLINS-R BELLOWS-D

55

23

28
 

   35
 
MI

LAND - R PETERS - D

6

7

9
 

  7
MN

MCFADDEN R FRANKEN D

6

8

13
 

  9
 
MS

COCHRAN-R CHILDERS-D

 

13

16
 

   15
 
MT

DAINES R CURTIS D

20
 

   20

GOP
NC

TILLIS R GOP HAGEN D

4

9

5
 

 3

 GOP WIN?
NE

SASSE R -DOMINA D

25
 

   25
 
NH

BROWN-R SHAHEEN-D

5

11

3
 

 4

 GOP WIN?
NJ

2014 BELL-R BOOKER-D

20

10

13
 

 14
 
NM

WEH R UDALL D

   

21
 

  21
 
MA

HERR-R MARKEY D

   

18
 

  18
 
MI

LAND-R PETERS-D

(2)

(2)

3
 

  2

 GOP WIN?
MN

FRANKEN D

       

  WINS
 
MS

COCHRAN R - CHILDERS D

17
 

   17
 
MT

DAINES R WALSH D

7

12

23
 

  14

GOP
NB

RICKETTS R - HASSEBROOK D

7
 

   7
 
NJ

BOOKER-D

   

DEM
 

  WINS
 
OK

INHOFE R - SILVERSTEIN D

31
 

   31
 
OR

WEHBY- R MERKLEY-D

4

10

13
 

  6
PA

TOOMY R - SESTAK D

5
 

   5
 
SC

GRAHAM R - HUTTO D

19
 

   19
 
SC

SCOTT R - DICKINSON D

22
 

   22
 
SD

ROUNDS-R WEILAND-D

15

15

25
 

   18

GOP
TN

ALEXANDERE R - BALL D

   

26
 

   26
 
VA

GILLESPIE-R WARNER-D

25

20

22
 

  22
 
WV

CAPITO-R TENNANT-D

8

11

17
 

   12

GOP
WY

ENZI R - HARDY D

   

36
 

   36
 

Generic House races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error

For the past seven polls, the GOP has had a 2-3 point moving average

CURRENT

RECENT POLLS
 

POLL
AVG

GOP MAJORITY

2

7

12
 

 1

Governor races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

         

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AK

PARNELL-R WALKER I

 

2

8
 

  5

IND? 
AL

BENTLEY-R GRIFFITH-D

 

22
 

22
 
AR

HUTCHINSON-R ROSS-D

2

 0

9
 

3

DEM? 
AZ

DUCEY-R DUVAL-D

 

 0
 

0

DEM? 
CA

KASHKARI-R BROWN-D

19

16

21
 

  19
 
CT

FOLEY-R MALLOY-D

 0

7

6
 

4

GOP?
CO

BEAUPREZ-R HICKENLOOPER-D

2

10

2
 

3

GOP?
FL

SCOTT-R CRIST-D

6

3

6
 

5
GA

DEAL-R CARTER-D

4

2

1
 

2

GOP?
HI

ALONA-R IGE-D

 

7
 

7

GOP
IA

BRANSTAD-R HATCH-D

13

15

22
 

 15
ID

OTTER-R BALUKOFF-D

 

14
 

14
 
IL

RAUNER-R QUINN-D

5

13

11
 

2

GOP?
KS

BROWNBACK-R DAVIS-D

2

1

8
 

   3

DEM? 
MA

BAKER-R COAKLEY-D

21

7

 0
 

   9
 
MD

HOGAN-R BROWN-D

13

13

3
 

10
 
ME

LEPAGE-R MICHAUD-D

1

1

1
 

   1

DEM? 
MI

SNYDER-R SCHAUER-D

2

2

2
 

   1

DEM? 
MN

JOHNSON-R DAYTON-D

 

8

12
 

10
 
NB

RICKETTS-R HASSEBROOK-D

   

7
 

 7
 
NC

TILLIS-R HAGAN-D

4

3

8
 

   5

DEM? 
NH

HAVENSTEIN-R HASSEN-D

4
 

4

GOP?
NM

MARTINEZ-R KING D

   

18
 

 18
 
NV

SANDOVAL-R GOODMAN D

   

28
 

 28
 
NY

ASTORINO-R CUOMO-D

32

28

25
 

   28
 
OH

KASICH-R FITZGERALD D

19

20

21
 

 20
OK

FALLIN-R DORMAN D

 

5

13
 

5
 
OR

RICHARDSON-R KITZHABER-D

4

10
 

   7
PA

CORBETT-R WOLF D

22

31

24
 

 27

 DEM
RI

FUNG-R RAIMONDO-D

   

2
 

   2

GOP?
SC

HALEY-R SHEHEEN D

   

10
 

 18
 
SD

DAUGAARD-R WISMER D

 

33

20
 

27
 
TN

HASLAM-R MCkAMEY D

 

30

25
 

27
 
TX

ABBOTT-R DAVIS D

12

1

8
 

7
 
WI

WALKER-R BURKE D

4

4

3
 

1

DEM? 

Presidential primaries

BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

GOP
       

ROMNEY

   

15

  15

PAUL

12

11

15

 13

CHRISTIE

13

10

9

  11

HUCKABEE

12

9

  10

JEB BUSH

8

12

10

  10

PERRY

11

12

5

  9

RYAN

11

9

5

  8

CRUZ

8

9

5

  7

RUBIO

6

6

9

  7

JINDAL

 

4

  4

SANTORUM

3

3

1

  2

WALKER

5

4

1

  3
 

DEMOCRATS

H CLINTON

67

64

54

   62

WARREN

10

9

10

   10

BIDEN

8

8

10

   9

CUOMO

4

5

   4

O'MALLEY

2

1

4

   3

Presidential
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

7

7

   8

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

9

10

7

   9

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

9

   9

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

7

13

7

   9

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

9

11

6

   9

ROMNEY-R CLINTON-D

13

   13

STATES

 

ELECTORAL
VOTES 2012
 

 MOST RECENT
POLLS
 

POLL
AVG

2016
SHIFT
AK

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

6
   

1
 

   4

 DEM?

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

(1)
 

   (1)
 
CO

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

 5
 

(8)

0
 

   4

GOP?

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

3

5
 

   4
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

1

8
 

   4
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

2

10
 

   4
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

10

5
 

  7
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

6

1
 

   3
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

(3)

(8)

0
 

   4
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

   

(17)

14
 

15
 

CHRISTIE-R WARREN-D

     

16
 

  16
 

CHRISTIE -R DEAN-D

   

22
 

  22
 
FL

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

6

8

7
 

   7
 
 

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

29
 

12

14
 

  13
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

18

16
 

   17
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

18

19
 

   19
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

20
 

   20
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

26
 

   26
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

   

18
 

   18
 

RUBIO-R BIDEN-D

   

2
 

   (2)
 

BUSH-R BIDEN-D

   

4
 

   (4)
 
IA

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

 6
 

5

10

6
 

   7
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

7

16

12
 

   13
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

     

6
 

   6
 

RAND-R CLINTON-D

     

0
 

   0
 

WALKER-R CLINTON-D

     

13
 

   13
 

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

     

9
 

   13
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

14

13

4
 

   10
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

7
 

   7
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

13

5

1
 

   6
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

   

(17)
 

   (17)
 

WALKER-R BIDEN-D

   

(3)
 

   (3)
 

CHRISTIE R-R KERRY-D

   

(11)
 

   (11)
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

(17)
 

   (17)
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

   

(17)
 

   (17)
 
MI

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 9
 

6
 

   6
 
NJ

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

 17
     

3
 

  3
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

15
 

   15
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

19
 

   19
 
NH

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

 6
   

16

5
 

   10
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

     

4

5
 

   5
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

5
 

   5
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

3
 

   3
 

WALKER-R CLINTON-D

     

9
 

   9
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

     

13
 

   13
 
                   
NY

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

 29
 

(5)

10
 

   7
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

16

36

20
 

   24
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

31
 

   31
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

     

43

31
 

   37
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

     

37
 

   37
 
OH

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

18
 

1

13

9
 

   8
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

9
 

   9
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

13

8

4
 

   8
 

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

   

14

7
 

   7
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

   

17

14
 

   15
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

   

15

9

11
 

   12
 
PA

RUBIO-R CLINTON-D

20
   

18
 

   18
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

17

12
 

   15
 

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

   

15

14
 

   15
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

5

1

4
 

   3
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

16

16
 

   16
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

16

14
 

   15
 

CRUZ-R CLINTON-D

     

18
 

   18
 

CHRISTIE-R BIDEN-D

     

13
 

   13
 

RUBIO -R BIDEN-D

     

4
 

   4
 

RYAN-R BIDEN-D

     

(3)
 

   (3)
 

PAUL-R BIDEN-D

     

4
 

   4
 

CHRISTIE-R CUOMO-D

     

21
 

   21
 

RUBIO-R CUOMO-D

     

4
 

   4
 

RYAN-R CUOMO-D

     

3
 

   3
 
VA

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

13
 

7

6

10
 

   8
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

2

4

11
 

   6
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

8
 

   8
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

   

8
 

   8
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

   

9
 

   9
 

CRUZ-R BIDEN-D

   

10
 

   10
 
WI

PAUL-R CLINTON-D

6
 

7

6

12
 

   8
 

CHRISTIE-R CLINTON-D

   

2

4

13
 

   7
 

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

     

8

11
 

   10
 

RYAN-R CLINTON-D

     

5
 

   10
 

HUCKABEE-R CLINTON-D

     

8

12
 

   10
 

WALKER-R CLINTON-D

   

7
 

   T
 

STATE PRIMARIES
Shows percentage results of recent polls (most recent on right)

 

GOP 

 Democratic
FLORIDA

 BUSH 22, 27, 21
RUBIO 16, 11, 18
CRUZ 10
PAUL 11, 14, 8

 CLINTON 70, 64, 67
WARREN 8
BUSH 8
IOWA

HUCKABEE 15, 21, 9
RYAN 11, 12, 10
RAND PAUL 12, 6,15
BUSH 12, 6, 10

 HIL CLINTON 70, 53, 60
BIDEN 8, 20, 15
WARREN 7
SANDERS 5
 MASSACHUSETTS

CHRISTIE 11
BUSH 11
RYAN 11
RAND PAUL 11

 HIL CLINTON 55
WARREN 17
BIDEN 8
CUOMO 5
O'MALLEY 2
MARYLAND

HUCKABEE 18
JEB BUSH 11
CHRISTIE 7

 HILLARY CLINTON 72
MICHIGAN

PAUL RYAN 27
MARCO RUBIO 21
SCOTT WALKER 16
 
MINNESOTA

 BUSH 15
PERRY 15

CRUZ, CHRISTIE 9

  HILLARY CLINTON 63
NEW HAMPSHIRE 

PAUL 7, 14, 14
CHRISTIE 7, 13, 13
BUSH 6, 10.3

   HILLARY CLINTON 64, 74
BIDEN 18
 NEW JERSEY

CHRIS CHRISTIE 51

  HILLARY CLINTON 63
 NEW YORK

 CHRIS CHRISTIE 40
PAUL 10
RUBIO 10

  HILLARY CLINTON 64
NORTH CAROLINA

 HUCKABEE 18
BUSH 17
CHRISTIE 14
CRUZ 13

  HILLARY CLINTON 57
BIDEN 15
WARREN 9
 PENNSYLVANIA

  HILLARY CLINTON 55
SOUTH CAROLINA

 HUCKABEE 18
BUSH 17
CHRISTIE 14
CRUZ 13
 
WISCONSIN

PAUL RYAN 25
SCOTT WALKER 21
 
VIRGINIA

 CHRIS CHRISTIE 19
BUSH 18

RYAN 13
HUCKABEE 13

  HILLARY CLINTON 66