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The Progressive Review

MORNING LINE

Based on the average of recent polls:

  • Nationally, Hillary Clinton is five points ahead of Trump. This this is 7 points better than her worst position vs Trump and two points less than her best. Her current average percentage is 45%, Her campaign range has been 38-48%
  • Clinton is leading with 208 certain electoral votes. Another 60 electoral votes are leaning Democratic for a total of 268.five short. 176 electoral votes are definitely in the Trump column. Another 37 are possible. This would leave him 57 electoral votes short. 29 votes (Florida) are up for grabs.
  • In the Senate the Democrats are winning one GOP seat and have a narrow lead in one more. One current Democratic seat is in doubt. Four current GOP seats are in doubt. The Dems need to win four more seats (plus a Democratic Veep) to control the Senate.
  • Democrats have already gained one governorship and could gain two more. Three current Democratic governorships are in doubt. The GOP winning one and ahead in another.

Presidential election
State elections
Senate elections
Governor elections

BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

Presidential election
BACK TO TOP

MON

MON

MON

MON

MON

MON

MON

TUE

MON

MON

POLL
AVG

CLINTON-D

45

47

44

45

48

45

42

43

50

47

47

TRUMP-R

41

41

41

41

44

43

39

45

44

43

42

 JOHNSON-L

5

6

4

4

5

4

6

8

1

4

5

 STEIN-G

2

3

2

2

2

2

3

2

1

2

2
 

CBS

NBC

 BLOOMBERG

 BLOOMBERG

 YOUGOV

RASMUSSEN

REUTERS

 IBD

MONMOUTH

 ABC
 

State elections
BACK TO TOP

 

ELECTORAL
VOTES 2012
 

 MOST RECENT
POLLS
 

2016
POLL
AVG
 

2008
%
LEAD
 

2016
ELECTORAL
VOTE
AK

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

3
 

13

1

4
 

3
 

 ROMNEY
14
 

3
AR

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

6
 

21

23

20
 

17
 

 ROMNEY
24
 

6
AZ

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

11
 

5

4

5
 

17
 

 ROMNEY
10
 

11
CA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 55
 

17

26

20
 

 21
 

OBAMA
13
 

55
CO

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 9
 

1

1

0
 

6
 

 OBAMA
4
 

9
CT

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 9
 

5

7

6
 

OBAMA
18
 

9
DC

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 3
 

5

7

6
 

OBAMA
18
 

3
DE

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 3
   

OBAMA
19
 

3
FL

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 29
 

3

2

4
 

0
 

 OBAMA
1
 

 29
GA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

16
 

9

2

4
 

5
 

 ROMNEY
8
 

16
ID

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

4
 

19
 

19
 

 ROMNEY
32
 

4
IA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 6
 

3

1

7
 

3
 

OBAMA
6
 

6
IL

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

20
 

6

12

11
 

  10
 

OBAMA
16
 

20
IN

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

11
 

6

11

10
 

9
 

 ROMNEY
10
 

11
KS

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

6
 

5

12

24
 

14
 

 ROMNEY
22
 

6
KY

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

8
 

4

17
 

7
 

 ROMNEY
23
 

6
LA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

8
 

7

15

14
 

12
 

 ROMNEY
17
 

 8
MA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

11
 

26

32

30
 

  29
 

OBAMA
23
 

11
MD

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

10
 

29
 

  29
 

OBAMA
25
 

10
ME

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

4
 

10

11

4
 

  8
 

 OBAMA
15
 

 2/2
MI

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

11
 

3

4

5
 

  4
 

 OBAMA
+9
 

 11
MN

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 10
 

7

8

10
 

  7
 

OBAMA
8
 

10
MO

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 9
 

5

15

6
 

 9
 

 ROMNEY
10
 

9
MS

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

6
 

13
 

 13
 

 ROMNEY
12
 

 6
MT

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

3
 

16

7

6
 

 10
 

 ROMNEY
13
 

 3
NE

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

5
 

27
 

 27
 

 ROMNEY
23
 

 5
NC

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 15
 

5

0

2
 

  0
 

 ROMNEY
3
 

 15
ND

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

3
 

13
 

 13
 

 ROMNEY
20
 

 3
NV

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

6
 

6

1

1
 

 2
 

 OBAMA
+6
 

 6
NJ

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 17
 

12

6

11
 

  10
 

 OBAMA
+17
 

 17
NH

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 4
 

0

2

7
 

  3
 

 OBAMA
+6
 

 4
NM

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 5
 

3

5

2
 

 3
 

 OBAMA
+10
 

 5
NY

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 29
 

18

21

17
 

  19
 

 OBAMA
+27
 

 29
OH

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 18
 

1

1

9
 

  3
 

 OBAMA
+2
 

18
OK

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

7
 

24
 

 24
 

 ROMNEY
+34
 

7
OR

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

 7
 

7

10

7
 

  8
 

 OBAMA
+11
 

7
PA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

20
 

0

2

4
 

  2
 

 OBAMA
+5
 

20
SC

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

9
 

15

13

4
 

10
 

ROMNEY
11
 

 9
SD

BUSH-R CLINTON-D

9
 

18
 

18
 

ROMNEY
11
 

3
TN

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

11
 

9
 

9
 

ROMNEY
20
 

11
TX

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

38
 

13

14

9
 

12
 

ROMNEY
18
 

38
UT

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

6
 

12

6

5
 

8
 

ROMNEY
48
 

6
VT

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

3
 

22

27
 

 22
 

 OBAMA
+27
 

3
VA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

13
 

7

5

6
 

 6

 OBAMA
+3
 

13
WA

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

12
 

17

14

12
 

14
 

 OBAMA
+14
 

12
WV

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

5
 

27

37

18
 

 27
 

ROMNEY
26
 

5
WI

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

6
 

5

5

6
 

 5
 

 OBAMA
+7
 

6
WY

TRUMP-R CLINTON-D

3
 

35

38
 

37
 

ROMNEY
42
 

3

Senate elections
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

 

 MOST RECENT
POLLS
 

POLL
AVG

2016
SHIFT
AR

BOOZMAMN-R ELDRIDGE D

18
 

 18
AZ

MCCAIN-R KIRKPATRICK D

6

15
 

 10
CA

RANKED CHOICE

DEM
 

  DEM
 
CO

GLENN-R BENNET-D

10

3
 

6
 
FL

RUBIO-R MURPHY-D

6

7

 6
GA

ISAKSON-R BARKSDALE-D

8

11

10
IA

GRASSLEY-R JUDGE- D

28

16
 

22
IL

KIRK-R DUCKWORTH-D

2

18
 

19

DEM
IN

YOUNG-R BAYH- D

5

3
 

 1

GOP IN DOUBT
KS

MORAN-R WIESNER-D

16

64
 

 40
 
LA

KENNEDY

 

   
 
MO

BLUNT-R KANDER- D

1

1
 

1

GOP IN DOUBT
NC

BURR-R ROSS-D

1

0
 

 1

GOP IN DOUBT
NV

HECK-R CORRTEZ MASTO-D

4

1
 

 2

DEM IN DOUBT?
NH

AYOTTE-R HASSAN-D

3

4
 

0

GOP IN DOUBT
NY

LONG-R SCHUMER-D

 

46
 

  46 
 
OH

PORTMAN-R STRICKLAND-D

21

21
 

  21
OR

CALLAHAN-R WYDEN-D

 

19
 

  19 
 
SC

SCOTT-R DIXON-D

36
 

  36
PA

TOOMEY-R MCGINTY-D

2

1
 

 1

DEM?
UT

LEE-R MATHESON-D

32

33
 

   33
WA

VANCE-D MURRAY - D

18

24
   
WI

JOHNSON-R FEINGOLD-D

1

2
 

  2

GOP IN DOUBT

Governor elections
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

 

 MOST RECENT
POLLS
 

POLL
AVG

2016
SHIFT?
IN

HOLCOMB-R GREGG- D

4

0
 

 2

DEM GAIN?
KY

BEVIN-R CONWAY- D

5

2
 

 3

DEM IN DOUBT
LA

VITTERS-R EDWARDS- D

8

14
 

   11

DEM FINAL +16
MO

GREITENS-R KOSTER-D

3

2
 

 2

DEM IN DOUBT
NC

MCCRORY-R COOPER- D

3

1

 3

DEM GAIN?
NH

SUNUNU-R OSTERN-D

2

4
 

 3

DEM IN DOUBT
OR

PIERCE-R BROWN-D

13

14
 

   14
 
VT

SCOTT-R MINTER-D

7
 

   7

 GOP
WA

BRYANT-R INSLEE-D

5

7
 

   6
 
W VA

VARIOUS-R COLE-D

TOO
CLOSE
 

 TOO
CLOSE

GOP?