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The Progressive Review

MORNING LINE

Our moving average of polls

GOP primary
Senate races

OBAMA= BLUE    BEST GOP=RED

 PRESIDENT
OBAMA POINT LEAD & HIS TREND
MOVING AVERAGE OF LATEST POLLS
GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOead    
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error

RAS
05

UPI
05

CNN
05

ARG
05

MON
05

ABC
05

DC
05

GAL
05

RTR
05

PPP
05

PEW
05

 AVG

OBAMA-ROMNEY

 (1)

 2

 0

 0

 0

 3

 4

(1)

 2

 2

 3

 1

PRESIDENTIAL RACE 2012
Showing Obama lead or lag in states
Latest state poll listed last
2008 = Obama's lead or lag in 2008

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error

 2008

2012

TREND 

AK

(22)

AL

(22)

(22)
 
 

(15)
 
 

(18)
 

AR

(20)

(22)
 

AZ

(3)

(8)

(4)

9/29
 

2

10/13
 

(8)

 10/26

CA

 24

15

 10/20
 

14

 10/29
 

15

 11/04

CO

2

 9

1

11/04

0

11/04
 

6

11/05

CT

 22

6

 10/10
 

14

 10/18
 

7

 10/24

FL

 0

 3

(5)

11/05
 

 1

11/05
 

5

11/05
 

 2

11/05
 

 0

11/05

GA

(5)

(12)
 
 

(3)
 
 

(8)

10/15

IA

2

 10

2

 11/04
 

5

 11/04
 

(1)

 11/05

ID
 

(36)

10/15

IL

25

26
 

17
 
 

19

10/15

IN

1

(16)

10/25
 

(10)

11/02
 

(9)

11/03

KS

(15)

(25)

 

(9)
 

KY

(16)

(8)
 

KY

(18)

(6)
 

MA

 26

22
 

28
 
 

27

 10/1

MD

 25

 24

 10/20
 

19

 10/23

ME

 17

14
 
 

12

9/28
 

16

9/30
 

7

11/04

DIST 2
 

5

 11/02
 

3

 11/02

MI

 17

5

11/02
 

7

11/02
 

6

11/02
 

7

11/04
 

1

11/04

MN

 10

8

 10/27
 

3

 10/28
 

9

 11/02

MO

 0

(11)

 10/19

(14)

 10/29

MS

(14)

(6)

 

(18)

MT

(2)

(9)
 
 

(8)

10/16
 

(10)

11/02

NC

(2)

 0

(5)

10/30
 

0

10/30
 

(1)

11/01

ND

(9)

(19)
 
 

(14)

10/9
 

(14)

10/31

 

NE

(15)

(14)
 
 

(12)
 
 

(14)
 

DIST 2
 

(9)
 

NH

2

 9

4

11/05
 

 0

11/05
 

3

11/05

NJ

 16

7
 
 

17

 10/2
 

10

 10/29

NM

15

11
 

10

 10/15

9

 10/29

NV

12

4

 11/01
 

6

 11/02
 

4

 11/04

NY

27

29
 
 

28
 
 

24

 10/26

OH

2

 5

1

 11/05
 

5

 11/05
 

1

 11/05
 

 0

 11/05
 

4

 11/05
 

2

 11/05

OK

(31)

(25)
 
 

(35)
 
 

(29)
 

OR

16

4
 
 

9
 
 

6
 

PA

4

10

4

 11/04
 

8

 11/04
 

0

 11/04
 

4

 11/04
 

3

 11/05

 RI

29

21

 11/02

SC

(9)

(9)
 
 

3
 

SD

(8)

(6)
 
 

(6)
 

TN

(15)

(15)
 
 

(4)
 
 

1
 

TX

(12)

(20)
 

(15)
 
 

(19)

 9/26

UT

(28)

(32)
 
 

(42)
 
 

(43)

 11/04

VA

 0

6

 (2)

 11/05
 

1

 11/05
 

1

 11/05

VT

37

31

5
 

WA

17

11

 10/1
 

13

 1018
 

9

 1018

WI

14

7

 11/04
 

4

 11/04
 

1

 11/05
 

6

 11/04

WV

(13)

(13)
 

(17)
 
 

(14)
 

Senate races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
Most recent poll to right
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP

       

POLL
AVG

CHANGE
AZ

FLAKE-R CARMONA-D

2

(4)

 (6)

   (3)

DEM ??? 
CA

EMKIN-R FEINSTEIN-D

26

17

21

21
CT

MCMAHON-R MURPHY D

6

1

6

 4

 GOP ???
FL

MACK - R NELSON-D

9

11

14

11
HI

LINGLE-R HIRONO-D

(4)

18

22

12
IN

MOURDOCK-R DONNELLY-D

3

2

11

5

DEM
MA

BROWN-R WARREN-D

4

6

(1)

3

DEM ??? 
MD

BONGIO-R CARDIN-D

     

EASY
 
ME

ANGUS KING

 22

 14

18

DEM ??? 
MI

HOEKSTRA-R STABENOW-D

16

20

14

13
MN

BILLS-R KLOBUCHR-D

EASY
 
MO

AKIN-R MCCASKILL-D

8

6

2

5
MS

WICKER-R

 

   EASY
MT

REHBERG-R TESTER-D

(3)

2

1

 0

 GOP ???
ND

BERG-R HEITCAMP-D

(4)

3

(2)

   (4)

 GOP ???
NE

FISCHER-R KERREY-D

 (16)

(3)

(3)

   (7)

 GOP +++
NJ

KYRILLOS-R MENENDEZ-D

14

15

18

16
NM

WILSON-R HEINRICH-D

5

13

8

7
NV

HELLER-R BERKLEY-D

 (7)

 (5)

(3)

   (5)
NY

GILLIBRAND

   

EASY
 
OH

MANDEL-R BROWN-D

6

7

3

5
PA

ROHRER-R CASEY-D

8

1

7

4
RI

HINCKLY-R WHITEHOUSE-D

 

EASY
TN    

   EASY
 
TX    

   EASY
UT

HATCH

 

   EASY
VA

ALLEN-R KAINE-D

6

3

2

4

 GOP ???
WA

BAUMGARTNER-R CANTWELL-D

20

23

15

 19
 
WI

THOMPSON-R BALDWIN-D

4

1

0

2

 GOP ???
WV

MANCHIN-D

 

EASY

Governor races
BACK TO TOP

GREEN = Democratic lead RED = GOP lead
LIGHT COLORS-Within margin of error
STATE COLOR INDICATES PARTY OF INCUMBENT: GREEN=DEM RED=GOP
IN COMPLETED RACES, FINAL RESULT COMPARED WITH OUR PROJECTION

     

AVG

CHANGE

 FINAL

IN

PENCE-R GREGG-D

(12)

(7)

(9)
   

KY

WILLIAMS - R BESHEAR - D

31

25

28

 ELECTED

 5 PT ERROR

LA

JINDAL - R

     

MO

SPENCE- R NIXON - D

 9

6

 7
 

MS

BRYANT - R DUPREE - D

 

(15)

(15)

 ELECTED

 5 PT ERROR

MT

HILL - R BULLOCK - D

 (2)

1

 (1)

GOP ??
 

NC

MCCORY-R DALTON - D

(11)

(13)

(12)

GOP+++

ND

DALRYMPLE-R TAYLOR-D

(14)

(34)

(24)
   

NJ

CHRISTI - R BOOKER - D

 

0

0

DEM ??
 

NM

WILSON-R HEINRICH - D

 7

1

4

GOP ??
 

OH

KASICH - R STRICKLAND - D

 

 15

 15

 DEM++
 

UT

HERBERT - R MATHESON - D

 

 (3)

 (3)

DEM ??
 

VA

CUCCINELLI - R MCAULIFFE DC

 

 (3)

 (3)

DEM ??
 

VT

 EASY
   

WA

MCKENNA - R INSLEE - D

1

1

 (2)

GOP ??
 

WV

MALONEY-R TOMLINE-D

 EASY

WI

WALKER - R VARIOUS - D

 

 (6-10)

(6-10)